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A demand-routing app helps less skilled taxi drivers find fares

In Yokohama in December 2019, the AI Navi app cut taxi drivers' cruising time by 5% on average and 7% for low-skilled drivers, narrowing the skill gap by 13.4%.

1
Benefit status
Reported
Evidence
Independently studied
Source information as of
Sources
2 publications

Benefits

Benefit

Cut taxi drivers' cruising time by 5% on average and 7% for low-skilled drivers

Awaiting review

Outcome identifiers

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Category

Reduced Task Time

Awaiting review

Status

Reported benefit

Awaiting review

Beneficiary groups

People.

Awaiting review

Beneficiaries

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Reach

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Distribution and access

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Duration

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Expected?

Yes

Awaiting review

Costs and harms

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

AI system

System

AI Navi (machine-learning demand forecasting and route suggestion for taxi drivers)

Awaiting review

Model

This is an explicit unresolved assignment: the sources on record do not settle this question.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Release

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Provider

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Role

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Configuration

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Inputs and outputs

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Autonomy

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Workflow

The app predicted demand from recent driving records in the city. Drivers turned the app on while cruising for fares.

Awaiting review

Human oversight

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Relation to AI

The authors compare cruising time with and without the app on, within the same driver, place and hour, and use instruments for when drivers turn it on, which isolates the app's contribution under their assumptions.

Awaiting review

AI contribution

The authors compare cruising time with and without the app on, within the same driver, place and hour, and use instruments for when drivers turn it on, which isolates the app's contribution under their assumptions.

Awaiting review

Measurement

Studies

Controlled observational. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Studies

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Study design

Controlled observational. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Study design

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Measurement

Cruising time until the next customer, from app and driving records. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Measurement

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Setting and sample

About 500 Yokohama taxi drivers over 29 days. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Setting and sample

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Measures

Log cruising time. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Measures

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Comparison

Same drivers with the app off, with driver, ward and date-hour fixed effects. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Comparison

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Results

5% shorter on average, 7% for low-skilled drivers, near zero for high-skilled drivers. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Results

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Additional value from AI

Productivity gap narrowed by 13.4% (published) or 14% (working paper). [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Additional value from AI

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Limitations

Drivers chose when to use the app; one city; one month; developer not named. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Limitations

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Denominators

App turned on while cruising. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Denominators

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Materials for replication

Data from the company; not public. [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Materials for replication

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [2]

Money

Kind of value

The kind of monetary value is unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Amount

The monetary value is not established.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Currency and prices

The currency and price basis are unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Period and unit

The period and unit of the monetary estimate are unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Realization

Whether the monetary value was realized is unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Recipients and payers

The recipients and payers are unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Gross or net

Whether the monetary figure includes costs is unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Included costs

The costs included in the estimate are unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Comparison

The financial comparison is not established.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Method

The method used to calculate monetary value is unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Return and payback

The return on investment or payback period is not established.

Not reviewedUnresolved

People and places

Participants

Developer: A tech company that the authors do not name. Operator: The same company, which gave the app to about 500 drivers at taxi firms in Yokohama.

Awaiting review

Jurisdictions

Benefit: Yokohama, Japan. Developer: Not stated. Operator: Not stated.

Awaiting review

Ownership and control

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Dependencies

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Cross-border connections

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Geopolitical implications

The geopolitical implications are unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

The model must have recent local driving data. Gains depend on drivers who lack their own knowledge of demand.

Awaiting review

Replication attempts

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Later findings

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Availability

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Institutional decision

A relevant institutional decision has not been established.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Grounds

The grounds for an institutional decision are unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Action and result

The result of an institutional decision is not established.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Success criterion

The criterion for a successful institutional decision is unclear.

Not reviewedUnresolved

Evidence

Source numbers

AIBD-0672-source-0001–0002

Awaiting review

Citations

Numbered references below.

Awaiting review

Language

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Source relationships

Independent

Awaiting review

Original evidence

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Access and versions

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Supported findings

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Evidence strength

Independently studied. Sources: one independent peer-reviewed study and one independent preprint. The cited evidence includes no finding by a regulator or court. [1] [2]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Evidence strength

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [1] [2]

Missing evidence

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Grades

Assessed benefits

People.

Awaiting review

Depth

People: 1.

Awaiting review

Reasons

People: Low-skilled drivers found customers with 7% less cruising time, and drivers are paid a share of fares.

Awaiting review

Observed or intended

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Rubric

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Assessor and date

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Alternative assessments

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Fill

Independently studied

Awaiting review

Entry details

Kind

The case describes an evaluation or a study. An econometric analysis of a field trial. [1]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Kind

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [1]

Field

Transportation (taxi services).

Awaiting review

Purpose

AI Navi was built to help taxi drivers find customers while cruising. Shorter cruising time was that purpose.

Awaiting review

Dates

Source information as of: December 2019. Updated: 29 October 2026.

Awaiting review

Stage

The system was used in a pilot. The company provided the app free for a 29-day field trial. [1]

Fully reviewed: supporting details for Stage

Review date: 29 October 2026.

Sources: [1]

Version

SHA-256: 11799d6d9c4a…

Awaiting review: supporting details for Version

SHA-256 of the public case, its assessments, and its displayed answers and notes, excluding its own identifier and the derived coverage summary.

References

Other identifiers

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Category mappings

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Citable summary

Unresolved

Not reviewedUnresolved

Revisions

1 revision. Latest: 29 October 2026.

Awaiting review

Sources

  1. Peer-reviewed study Independent author

    Kanazawa K, Kawaguchi D, Shigeoka H, Watanabe Y. AI, Skill, and Productivity: The Case of Taxi Drivers. Management Science. 2026;72(2):1376-1388. doi:10.1287/mnsc.2023.01631 (publisher abstract as deposited with Crossref).

  2. Preprint Independent author

    Kanazawa K, Kawaguchi D, Shigeoka H, Watanabe Y. AI, Skill, and Productivity: The Case of Taxi Drivers. NBER Working Paper 30612, October 2022.

Cite this case

BibTeX Download BibTeX

Version 11799d6d9c4a, archived in the edition of 29 October 2026

Benefit marks

Depth

The number and color show the depth of a benefit.

  1. Depth 1. A convenience, or time or money saved.
  2. Depth 2. A measurable improvement in a result or ability.
  3. Depth 3. A lasting change, an ability restored, or a risk removed.
  4. Depth 4. A serious harm averted or a serious condition resolved in time.
  5. Depth 5. A life or livelihood preserved, or a change documented across a population.

Beneficiary

  • Circle: a person
  • Square: an organization
  • Triangle: society

Evidence

  • Solid. A court or regulator found a benefit, or researchers independently studied it.

  • Hatched. Independent reporting.

  • Outline. Claimed by the parties. Only the people or organizations involved, or sources whose independence has not been assessed, support the benefit.

The fill changes with the evidence. The depth color stays the same.

How benefits are assessed