CGU's ALICE alert leads to a R$100 million cut in a road-works tender

A CGU ALICE alert on a federal road-works tender led managers to cut its reference value by about R$100 million, per CGU's 30 December 2024 results release

21ⓘ

AI system

System

ALICE (Analisador de Licitações, Contratos e Editais), CGU text-mining and AI alert tool

Model

Not assessed

Release

Not assessed

Application developer

Controladoria-Geral da União (CGU), in-house

Role

Not assessed

Configuration

Not assessed

Inputs and outputs

Not assessed

Autonomy

Not assessed

Workflow

ALICE alert on a road-works budget. CGU auditors' examination of the budget's adequacy. Federal managers adjusting the reference value before contracting.

Human oversight

Not assessed

Relation to AI

The CGU states the chain explicitly: “A partir do alerta do ALICE, auditores da CGU examinaram a adequação de um orçamento de uma obra rodoviária, o que gerou ajustes efetuados pelos gestores federais.” The adjustment was made by managers after a human audit. ALICE's role was the initial alert. Developer and deployer are the same public body. The page is on record as an archived copy, because the live page was restricted during Brazil's 2026 electoral period.

AI contribution

The CGU states the chain explicitly: “A partir do alerta do ALICE, auditores da CGU examinaram a adequação de um orçamento de uma obra rodoviária, o que gerou ajustes efetuados pelos gestores federais.” The adjustment was made by managers after a human audit. ALICE's role was the initial alert. Developer and deployer are the same public body. The page is on record as an archived copy, because the live page was restricted during Brazil's 2026 electoral period.

Benefits

Outcome identifiers

Not assessed

Benefit

reduced the reference value by about R$100 million

Category

Reduced Risk

Status

Not assessed

Beneficiary groups

People. Organizations. Society.

Beneficiaries

Not assessed

Reach

Not assessed

Distribution and access

Not assessed

Duration

Not assessed

Expected?

Yes

Costs and harms

Not assessed

Measurement

Studies

Not assessed

Study design

Not assessed

Measurement

Not assessed

Setting and sample

Not assessed

Measures

reduced the reference value by about R$100 million

Comparison

the tender's original reference value for the engineering services (figure not stated)

Results

Reference: the original reference value, not stated. Result: redução de cerca de R$ 100 milhões no valor de referência.

Additional value from AI

Not assessed

Limitations

Not assessed

Denominators

Not assessed

Materials for replication

Not assessed

Money

Kind of value

reduction in the reference value of a federal road-works engineering tender after the ALICE alert

Amount

cerca de R$ 100 milhões

Currency and prices

Not assessed

Period and unit

Not assessed

Realization

Not assessed

Recipients and payers

the federal government (contracting agency not named)

Gross or net

Not assessed

Included costs

Not assessed

Comparison

Not assessed

Method

Not assessed

Return and payback

Not assessed

People and places

Participants

Developer: Controladoria-Geral da União (CGU), in-house. Operator: Controladoria-Geral da União (CGU).

Jurisdictions

Developer: Brazil. Operator: Brazil.

Ownership and control

Not assessed

Dependencies

Not assessed

Cross-border connections

Not assessed

Geopolitical implications

Not assessed

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

Budget spreadsheets published with the notice. Audit review before the tender closes. Managers' willingness to revise estimates.

Replication attempts

2 follow-up entries. Benefit recurred: 2.

Later findings

14 January 2025. Two weeks later the CGU reported the first 2025 audit reports built on ALICE alerts: three Rio de Janeiro federal hospital tenders, one suspended, one revoked and one re-estimated.

Availability

Not assessed

Institutional decision

Not assessed

Grounds

Not assessed

Action and result

Not assessed

Success criterion

Not assessed

Evidence

Source numbers

AIBD-0087-source-0001–0004

Citations

Numbered references below.

Language

Not assessed

Source relationships

Developer, Independent

Original evidence

Not assessed

Access and versions

Not assessed

Supported findings

Not assessed

Evidence strength

Not assessed

Missing evidence

Not assessed

Grades

Assessed benefits

People. Organizations. Society.

Depth

People: Not assessed. Organizations: 2. Society: 1.

Reasons

People: No identifiable individual beneficiary. Organizations: Material to the federal budget: about R$100 million removed from a single tender's reference value, per the CGU. Society: Small at national scale and the contracting agency is not named, limiting traceability.

Observed or intended

Not assessed

Rubric

Not assessed

Assessor and date

Not assessed

Alternative assessments

Not assessed

Fill

Independently reported

Entry details

Kind

Not assessed

Field

Public administration: government audit and procurement control. Federal infrastructure procurement.

Purpose

Continuous automated audit of federal procurement to flag budget and pricing risks before contracting

Dates

Date basis unassessed: 2024 (precision unassessed). Updated: 21 October 2026.

Stage

Not assessed

Version

SHA-256: bc9414218e46…

References

Other identifiers

AI Incident Database: 738.

Category mappings

Not assessed

Brief

Not assessed

Revisions

9 revisions. Latest: 21 October 2026.

Sources

  1. News report Independent author

    Grossmann, L. O. (2025). Robô da CGU rastreia R$ 25 bilhões em licitações. Convergência Digital, 15 Jan 2025. Secondary report restating the CGU release of 30 Dec 2024; names no sources of its own.

  2. Press release Developer

    Controladoria-Geral da União (2024). Órgãos federais economizaram, em 2024, 257 milhões de reais com apoio do Robô ALICE. gov.br/cgu, 30 Dec 2024.

  3. Press release Developer

    Controladoria-Geral da União (2025). Atuação do Robô ALICE segue auxiliando auditores a realizar trabalhos preventivos, que ajudam a evitar desperdícios e irregularidades. gov.br/cgu, 14 Jan 2025.