CGU's ALICE flags R$19.4m overpricing risk in three Rio tenders

CGU ALICE alerts: three 2024 federal hospital tenders in Rio de Janeiro state suspended, revoked or re-estimated; R$19.4m overpricing risk flagged (sum of three confirmed risks)

21ⓘ

AI system

System

ALICE (Analisador de Licitações, Contratos e Editais), CGU text-mining and AI alert tool

Model

Not assessed

Release

Not assessed

Application developer

Controladoria-Geral da União (CGU), in-house

Role

Not assessed

Configuration

Not assessed

Inputs and outputs

Not assessed

Autonomy

Not assessed

Workflow

ALICE audit trails that flag price surveys with abnormally high estimates in documents published on Compras.gov.br and bank procurement systems. CGU preventive audit teams that examine flagged tenders before the auction concludes and recommend corrections. Managers' response to audit recommendations (suspension, revocation or new price estimate).

Human oversight

Not assessed

Relation to AI

The CGU release states that each tender “teve alerta do Robô ALICE” and that auditors then confirmed the overpricing risk. The suspension, revocation and re-estimation are described as results of that audit action. Human auditors and hospital managers made the decisions. ALICE's role was detection and triage. Developer and deployer are the same public body, so this is the body documenting its own tool. The CGU page is on record as an archived copy, because the live page was restricted during Brazil's 2026 electoral period.

AI contribution

The CGU release states that each tender “teve alerta do Robô ALICE” and that auditors then confirmed the overpricing risk. The suspension, revocation and re-estimation are described as results of that audit action. Human auditors and hospital managers made the decisions. ALICE's role was detection and triage. Developer and deployer are the same public body, so this is the body documenting its own tool. The CGU page is on record as an archived copy, because the live page was restricted during Brazil's 2026 electoral period.

Benefits

Outcome identifiers

Not assessed

Benefit

a saving of R$3,063,774.84

Category

Reduced Risk

Status

Not assessed

Beneficiary groups

People. Organizations. Society.

Beneficiaries

Not assessed

Reach

Not assessed

Distribution and access

Not assessed

Duration

Not assessed

Expected?

Yes

Costs and harms

Not assessed

Measurement

Studies

Not assessed

Study design

Not assessed

Measurement

Not assessed

Setting and sample

Not assessed

Measures

a saving of R$3,063,774.84

Comparison

the hospital's original price estimate for tender 90017/2024

Results

Reference: valor estimado em R$ 15.450.714,80. Result: R$ 12.386.939,96.

Additional value from AI

Not assessed

Limitations

Not assessed

Denominators

Not assessed

Materials for replication

Not assessed

Money

Kind of value

reduction of the estimated value of tender 90017/2024 after the re-estimate (the release gives no total for the three tenders)

Amount

R$ 3.063.774,84

Currency and prices

Not assessed

Period and unit

Not assessed

Realization

Not assessed

Recipients and payers

Hospital Federal de Ipanema, federal budget

Gross or net

Not assessed

Included costs

Not assessed

Comparison

Not assessed

Method

Not assessed

Return and payback

Not assessed

People and places

Participants

Developer: Controladoria-Geral da União (CGU), in-house. Operator: Controladoria-Geral da União (CGU).

Jurisdictions

Benefit: Rio de Janeiro (state), Brazil. Developer: Brazil. Operator: Brazil.

Ownership and control

Not assessed

Dependencies

Not assessed

Cross-border connections

Not assessed

Geopolitical implications

Not assessed

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

Procurement planning documents and notices must be machine-readable in the monitored systems. Audit capacity must exist to act on alerts before award. Reference prices must be available to confirm overpricing.

Replication attempts

3 follow-up entries. Benefit recurred: 3.

Later findings

The two later press items (21 and 28 January 2025) restate the release; no later development was found,.

Availability

Not assessed

Institutional decision

Not assessed

Grounds

Not assessed

Action and result

Not assessed

Success criterion

Not assessed

Evidence

Source numbers

AIBD-0081-source-0001–0006

Citations

Numbered references below.

Language

Not assessed

Source relationships

Developer, Independent

Original evidence

Not assessed

Access and versions

Not assessed

Supported findings

Not assessed

Evidence strength

Not assessed

Missing evidence

Not assessed

Grades

Assessed benefits

People. Organizations. Society.

Depth

People: Not assessed. Organizations: 2. Society: 1.

Reasons

People: No identifiable individual beneficiary is named; the beneficiaries are public bodies and, indirectly, taxpayers. Organizations: Material to the two hospitals and the federal budget. One tender saw a documented R$3,063,774.84 reduction. One suspension and one revocation removed R$13.4 million of confirmed overpricing risk. Society: Small at national scale; three tenders among 118,069 processes analyzed in 2024.

Observed or intended

Not assessed

Rubric

Not assessed

Assessor and date

Not assessed

Alternative assessments

Not assessed

Fill

Independently reported

Entry details

Kind

Not assessed

Field

Public administration: government audit and procurement control. Federal internal control (anti-corruption and waste prevention).

Purpose

Continuous automated audit of federal procurement notices to detect risks such as inflated price estimates before contracts are awarded

Dates

Date basis unassessed: 2025 (precision unassessed). Updated: 21 October 2026.

Stage

Not assessed

Version

SHA-256: d6b958633d54…

References

Other identifiers

AI Incident Database: 738.

Category mappings

Not assessed

Brief

Not assessed

Revisions

9 revisions. Latest: 21 October 2026.

Sources

  1. Report Developer

    Oliveira, T. C., Rocha, A. L. M. & Rezende, M. S. (2022). Alice: Desafios, resultados e perspectivas da ferramenta de auditoria contínua de compras públicas governamentais com uso de inteligência artificial. Revista da CGU 14(26), jul-dez/2022, published 20 Dec 2022; a practitioner report (relato) in the CGU's own journal. doi:10.36428/revistadacgu.v14i26.530

  2. News report Independent author

    Grossmann, L. O. (2025). Robô da CGU rastreia R$ 25 bilhões em licitações. Convergência Digital, 15 Jan 2025.

  3. News report Independent author

    R7 Planalto (2025). ALICE: robô da CGU previne erros e desperdícios de licitações públicas, 28 Jan 2025, republished by Licitação.net.

  4. News report Independent author

    Observatório da Nova Lei de Licitações (2025). Atuação do robô ALICE auxilia CGU a rastrear R$ 25 bilhões em licitações, 21 Jan 2025 (with information from CGU).

  5. Press release Developer

    Controladoria-Geral da União (2025). Atuação do Robô ALICE segue auxiliando auditores a realizar trabalhos preventivos, que ajudam a evitar desperdícios e irregularidades. gov.br/cgu, 14 Jan 2025.