What happened
The Andhra Pradesh School Education department, with support from Microsoft, piloted a dropout prediction model in 10,000 government schools. The model applies clustering and boosted decision trees to student data in the state's student information system, and it was first trained on 2016-17 data. Under the Vidyarthi Nestham program, teachers in selected schools are each assigned predicted dropouts from Classes 6 to 9 to mentor. Cambridge Education reviewed the state's education management information system for UNICEF's Regional Office for South Asia, in a report dated 5 August 2020. The reviewers report that the model's accuracy rose to 75% in 2017-18 and to 92% in 2018-19. These are the department's own figures, from its comparison of actual dropout with predicted likelihood, and the reviewers did not check them. The review does not define accuracy beyond that comparison. The reviewers found that it was not conclusively established whether the intervention reduced dropout, as the pilot was only then concluding.
Sources
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Descriptive report, by authors with no tie to the system.
Cambridge Education. Review of Education management and monitoring system at school and sub-national level: Report for EMIS in Andhra Pradesh. Prepared for the UNICEF Regional Office for South Asia, 5 August 2020. Published in UNICEF's evaluation database.
The accuracy of the model progressed to 75% in 2017-18 and then to 92% in 2018-19
Details
AI system
- Workflow
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The model applied clustering and boosted decision trees to individual student records in the state's SIMS database. It used 64 parameters, with learning outcomes weighted most. The department refined the model each year against actual dropout. Teachers received predicted dropouts to mentor and reported on them every fortnight through a mobile app.
Follow-up
- Conditions for replication
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Each child must have an individual record in the student information system. Teachers must follow up the students assigned to them and report through the app.
Entry details
- Sector
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Education.
- Purpose
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The Andhra Pradesh School Education department built the dropout prediction model, with support from Microsoft, to identify students likely to drop out so that teachers can mentor them.
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Cite this record
Peter H. Vartanian. (2026). Andhra Pradesh reports 92% accuracy for its Vidyarthi Nestham model (AIBD-1170). Artificial Intelligence Benefits Database, edition of 1 November 2026. https://petervartanian.xyz/aibd/records/AIBD-1170.html (archived at https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/AADSII, version 7.0)