Taiwan AI-ECG alerts reduce mortality in a randomized trial

A Taiwanese randomized trial involving 15,965 patients found 90-day mortality of 3.6% with AI-ECG alerts versus 4.3% with usual care.

AI system

System

The AI-ECG mortality alert system at Tri-Service General Hospital. [1] [3]

Model

A convolutional survival network, documented in ECGSurvNet. [1] [3]

Release

The trial’s model weights are proprietary. No release identifier is published. [1] [3]

Provider

National Defense Medical Center and Tri-Service General Hospital. [1] [3]

Role

The model estimated mortality risk from electrocardiograms and identified patients for alerts. [1] [3]

Configuration

Philips PageWriter TC30 and TC50 machines recorded 10-second ECGs at 500 Hz. An NVIDIA DGX-1 in the hospital’s private cloud processed them. Alerts used the 95th percentile of risk. [1] [3]

Inputs and outputs

The model analyzed 12-lead ECG waveforms and returned a risk percentile. High-risk results triggered physician alerts. [1] [3]

Autonomy

Physicians reviewed the ECGs and decided on further tests and treatment. The software sent alerts and did not prescribe care. [1] [3]

Workflow

Routine ECGs were analyzed automatically, with warnings sent to physicians and risk reports available in the electronic health record. Physicians assessed alerted patients and selected care using their clinical judgment.

Human oversight

Physicians reviewed the alerts and chose further tests and treatment. The system did not prescribe or administer care. [1]

Relation to AI

A convolutional neural network assessed ECGs and sent high-risk alerts to physicians. Clinicians selected further assessment and treatment. The trial evaluated this combined care pathway. The precise mechanism of the survival improvement remains uncertain.

AI contribution

A convolutional neural network assessed ECGs and sent high-risk alerts to physicians. Clinicians selected further assessment and treatment. The trial evaluated this combined care pathway. The precise mechanism of the survival improvement remains uncertain.

Benefits

Outcome identifiers

AIBD-0578-outcome-01 [1]

Benefit

Fewer patients died within 90 days when their physicians received AI-ECG alerts. [1]

Category

Improved Physical Health

Status

Observed in a randomized trial. [1]

Beneficiary groups

People.

Beneficiaries

Adult emergency and hospitalized patients whose physicians participated in the trial. [1]

Reach

The analysis included 8,001 patients assigned to AI alerts and 7,964 assigned to usual care. It does not identify individual lives saved. [1]

Distribution and access

The trial included an academic center and a community hospital. Most patients came from the academic center, and the mortality difference was larger in the prespecified high-risk group. [1]

Duration

Mortality was measured for 90 days after enrollment. [1]

Expected?

Yes

Costs and harms

The alert could lead to additional tests and treatment. The economic analysis found higher mean medical costs. [1]

Measurement

Studies

NCT05118035 [1]

Study design

An unblinded, pragmatic randomized trial with patients assigned to alerts or usual care. Allocation used a random list of medical-record numbers prepared before enrollment. [1]

Measurement

Researchers compared deaths recorded in hospital records within 90 days. Patients were censored at their last known follow-up. [1]

Setting and sample

The analysis included 15,965 adults treated by 39 physicians at two hospitals in Taiwan. [1]

Measures

All-cause mortality within 90 days was the primary outcome. [1]

Comparison

Usual care without the AI-ECG report or high-risk alert during the 90-day follow-up. [1]

Results

Mortality was 3.6% with alerts and 4.3% with usual care. The hazard ratio was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.70–0.99). [1]

Additional value from AI

Randomization supports an effect of the alert-assisted care pathway. It does not identify which subsequent clinical actions produced the survival difference. [1]

Limitations

The study was unblinded and concentrated in one health system. Deaths outside its records could be missed. Survival beyond 90 days was not established. [1]

Denominators

Patients entered from 15 December 2021 through 30 April 2022. A physician received an alert for the first high-risk ECG. [1]

Materials for replication

The article includes a protocol and randomization details. Training code is public. Patient data require ethics approval and secure access. [1] [2] [3]

Money

Kind of value

Medical expenditure and additional cost per death averted. [2]

Amount

Mean medical costs were US$6,204 with AI and US$5,803 with usual care. The base-case estimate was US$59,500 per death averted. [2]

Currency and prices

Hospital costs were recorded in New Taiwan dollars and reported in U.S. dollars using a Bank of Taiwan rate dated 18 November 2024. The paper does not state the numerical exchange rate. [2]

Period and unit

Mean cost per patient over 90 days, and incremental cost per death averted. [2]

Realization

Hospital expenditure was observed. The price of the AI service and the cost-effectiveness calculations were modeled. [2]

Recipients and payers

Taiwan’s National Health Insurance was the stated perspective. Hospital records included insurance reimbursement and patients’ out-of-pocket spending. [2]

Gross or net

These figures describe additional expenditure for a survival benefit. They are not cash savings or net financial returns. [2]

Included costs

The analysis included hospital medical costs and assumed US$4 per AI-ECG service. It excluded development, staff training, maintenance, administration, and wider family or societal costs. [2]

Comparison

Patients randomly assigned to usual care supplied the comparison for costs and mortality. [2]

Method

The authors divided additional costs by deaths averted and used 5,000 bootstrap samples to estimate uncertainty. [2]

Return and payback

The study did not estimate profit, a financial return, or a payback period. [2]

People and places

Participants

Researchers at the National Defense Medical Center and Tri-Service General Hospital developed the system. Physicians at an academic center and a community hospital provided care. [1]

Jurisdictions

The developers and both hospitals were in Taiwan. [1]

Ownership and control

The reviewed clinical sources identify the organizations involved, but do not establish their complete ownership or control arrangements. [1]

Dependencies

The trial used Philips 12-lead ECG machines, automatic uploads, a private cloud with an NVIDIA DGX-1, electronic records, and smartphone alerts. [1]

Cross-border connections

The trial took place in Taiwan. The paper describes a private cloud, without reporting an international transfer of patient data. [1]

Geopolitical implications

Not assessed

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

Reliable ECG transfer, access to the risk report, and physicians able to assess and treat patients were part of the tested pathway. [1]

Replication attempts

The reviewed sources do not report an independent repetition of this clinical result. [1]

Later findings

The 2025 publication analyzes costs from the same trial. It does not extend clinical follow-up beyond 90 days. [2]

Availability

The trial used a licensed model. Public architecture and training code do not include the exact weights deployed in this trial. [1]

Institutional decision

Participating hospitals tested whether mortality alerts improved survival. [1]

Grounds

The trial protocol specified random allocation and a 90-day mortality outcome. [1]

Action and result

Hospitals provided alerts to the intervention group while continuing usual clinical care. [1]

Success criterion

The prespecified primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 90 days. [1]

Evidence

Source numbers

3 retained sources.

Citations

Original citations and the passages that support each finding. [1] [2] [3]

Language

English. No translation was used. [1]

Source relationships

Developer, Operator [1] [2]

Original evidence

The original studies and their supporting materials are linked to the findings that they support. [1] [2] [3]

Access and versions

Access and version details are listed for each reviewed source. [1] [2] [3]

Supported findings

AI-ECG alerts reduced 90-day mortality in the randomized comparison. [1]

Evidence strength

A peer-reviewed randomized trial by the developers and deploying hospitals. The cost study reuses the same trial. [1]

Missing evidence

The precise deployed weights, longer-term survival, and the clinical actions that caused the mortality difference remain unresolved. [1]

Grades

Assessed benefits

The benefit described here, for the beneficiary groups shown.

Depth

Depth 5 for a measured survival benefit.

Reasons

Depth 5 for a measured survival benefit.

Observed or intended

The depth describes the reported result. Evidence strength is assessed separately.

Rubric

AIBD’s five-level depth rubric, reviewed on 25 October 2026.

Assessor and date

AIBD, 25 October 2026.

Alternative assessments

The follow-up supports survival over 90 days, not a lifetime estimate.

Fill

A peer-reviewed randomized trial by the developers and deploying hospitals. The outline remains appropriate under the source-independence rule.

Entry details

Kind

A randomized clinical trial and an economic analysis of the same patients. [1]

Field

Healthcare - mortality prevention. ECG-based clinical decision support.

Purpose

Identify patients at high risk of death and prompt timely clinical assessment.

Dates

Enrollment ran from 15 December 2021 to 30 April 2022, with 90 days of follow-up. [1]

Stage

Clinical use within a trial at two hospitals in Taiwan. [1]

Version

SHA-256: cc0075c37b4f…

References

Other identifiers

NCT05118035 [1]

Category mappings

Not assessed

Brief

Not assessed

Revisions

3 revisions. Latest: 25 October 2026. [1] [2]

Sources

  1. Peer-reviewed study Developer

    Lin CS, Liu WT, Tsai DJ, et al. (2024). Nature Medicine 30:1461–1470. doi:10.1038/s41591-024-02961-4. Randomized trial conducted by the system's research team. Figures 1–4; Methods; Supplementary Note 1 and Figure 1.

    Randomization, mortality, eligible population, timing, clinical workflow, and limitations. Results, Figures 1–4; Methods; Supplementary Note 1.

    Original trial by the developers and deploying hospitals.

    Supplement to the same trial. Original protocol and randomization details. Supplementary Note 1 and Figure 1.

    Supplement to the same trial.

    Sponsor-supplied registration, not independent outcome verification. Registration, sponsor, trial dates, and prespecified outcome. Protocol sections: identification, status, design, and outcomes.

    Sponsor-supplied registration, not independent outcome verification.

  2. Peer-reviewed study Deployer

    Hsieh PH, Lin C, Lin CS, et al. (2025). npj Digital Medicine 8:348. doi:10.1038/s41746-025-01735-7. Analysis of the same trial. Methods, limitations, and supplementary Tables 1–3.

    Costs, price assumptions, uncertainty, and data-access conditions. Tables 1–2; Methods; Discussion; Data availability.

    Secondary analysis of the same patients.

    Supplement to the same cost analysis. Additional baseline characteristics and subgroup economic analyses. Supplementary Tables 1–3 and Figure 1.

    Supplement to the same cost analysis.

  3. Other Developer

    Chin Lin, ECGSurvNet, commit 68e3b7c58491a38d731d43626f98443e53d035a5, January 21, 2022.

    Architecture and public demonstration code; does not identify the trial weights. README and model architecture.R.

    Developer repository.