GiveDirectly's MobileAid may have halved enrollment cost in Malawi

GiveDirectly posts (2024–2025) describe phone-metadata AI/ML targeting in Malawi: 35% of recipients enrolled via phone data, cost per enrolee halved; no date, count or independent source.

AI system

System

GiveDirectly MobileAid: machine-learning poverty targeting from mobile-phone metadata

Model

Not assessed

Release

Not assessed

Application developer

GiveDirectly (MobileAid), with research partners; for the Malawi study the Government of Malawi, U.C. Berkeley and U.C. San Diego

Role

Not assessed

Configuration

Not assessed

Inputs and outputs

Not assessed

Autonomy

Not assessed

Workflow

Access to mobile network operator metadata for the target population under a data agreement. A machine-learning model relating phone usage patterns to poverty, trained on survey data. Mobile-money rails to enroll and pay identified people. An in-person survey component (65% of enrollments) alongside the phone-metadata component.

Human oversight

Not assessed

Relation to AI

Only the maker's account is among the sources. GiveDirectly says machine learning on phone metadata identified and enrolled 35% of recipients in a Malawi hybrid program. It says this halved the cost per additional enrolee. It gives no date, place, recipient count or accuracy for Malawi. The Government of Malawi, U.C. Berkeley and U.C. San Diego study is described as pending (findings expected in 2026). Likewise, the explain-AI page names no deployment, date or outcome.

AI contribution

Only the maker's account is among the sources. GiveDirectly says machine learning on phone metadata identified and enrolled 35% of recipients in a Malawi hybrid program. It says this halved the cost per additional enrolee. It gives no date, place, recipient count or accuracy for Malawi. The Government of Malawi, U.C. Berkeley and U.C. San Diego study is described as pending (findings expected in 2026). Likewise, the explain-AI page names no deployment, date or outcome.

Benefits

Outcome identifiers

Not assessed

Benefit

35% of recipients enrolled via phone data, cost per enrolee halved

Category

Improved Organizational Efficiency

Status

Not assessed

Beneficiary groups

People. Organizations. Society.

Beneficiaries

Not assessed

Reach

Not assessed

Distribution and access

Not assessed

Duration

Not assessed

Expected?

Yes

Costs and harms

Not assessed

Measurement

Studies

Not assessed

Study design

Not assessed

Measurement

Not assessed

Setting and sample

Not assessed

Measures

35% of recipients enrolled via phone data, cost per enrolee halved

Comparison

a fully in-person enrollment operation

Results

Result: cut the cost of identifying and enrolling each additional person in half.

Additional value from AI

Not assessed

Limitations

Not assessed

Denominators

Not assessed

Materials for replication

Not assessed

Money

Kind of value

Not assessed

Amount

Not assessed

Currency and prices

Not assessed

Period and unit

Not assessed

Realization

Not assessed

Recipients and payers

Not assessed

Gross or net

Not assessed

Included costs

Not assessed

Comparison

Not assessed

Method

Not assessed

Return and payback

Not assessed

People and places

Participants

Developer: GiveDirectly (MobileAid), with research partners; for the Malawi study the Government of Malawi, U.C. Berkeley and U.C. San Diego. Operator: GiveDirectly, with the Government of Malawi for the urban social registry work.

Jurisdictions

Benefit: Malawi (the explain-AI post names Mzuzu). Developer: United States. Operator: United States.

Ownership and control

Not assessed

Dependencies

Not assessed

Cross-border connections

Not assessed

Geopolitical implications

Not assessed

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

Telecom partnership and data-sharing agreement in place (GiveDirectly cites 6–18 months set-up). Phone ownership and usage among the poor population. Recipients' understanding and consent, which GiveDirectly found requires scenario-based explanation. Model accuracy acceptable for the program (GiveDirectly reports phone metadata below in-person proxy-means tests).

Replication attempts

3 follow-up entries. Benefit recurred: 2. Outcome unresolved: 1.

Later findings

GiveDirectly says a study with the Government of Malawi, U.C. Berkeley and U.C. San Diego is expected to report in 2026; nothing dated after 4 September 2025 was found in the cited sources.

Availability

Not assessed

Institutional decision

Not assessed

Grounds

Not assessed

Action and result

Not assessed

Success criterion

Not assessed

Evidence

Source numbers

AIBD-0351-source-0001–0004

Citations

Numbered references below.

Language

Not assessed

Source relationships

Developer

Original evidence

Not assessed

Access and versions

Not assessed

Supported findings

Not assessed

Evidence strength

Not assessed

Missing evidence

Not assessed

Grades

Assessed benefits

People. Organizations. Society.

Depth

Not assessed

Reasons

People: No dated event, named recipient or outcome for Malawi is given in any cited source. Organizations: The halved enrollment cost is the maker's own undated statement without figures or an independent evaluation. Society: No population-level outcome is documented for Malawi.

Observed or intended

Not assessed

Rubric

Not assessed

Assessor and date

Not assessed

Alternative assessments

Not assessed

Fill

The makers' claim

Entry details

Kind

Not assessed

Field

Humanitarian cash transfers / poverty targeting. Non-governmental cash-transfer organization working with a national government.

Purpose

Identify people in poverty from mobile-phone metadata with machine learning so that cash can be delivered faster and more cheaply. The claimed benefit (cheaper, faster enrollment) is that purpose.

Dates

Date basis unassessed: 2025 (precision unassessed). Updated: 21 October 2026.

Stage

Not assessed

Version

SHA-256: 0f3426e3243f…

References

Other identifiers

Not assessed

Category mappings

Not assessed

Brief

Not assessed

Revisions

7 revisions. Latest: 21 October 2026.

Sources

  1. Press release Developer

    Lummis, V. (2025). Five things we've learned using mobile data and AI/ML to identify people in need. GiveDirectly blog, 4 September 2025.

  2. Press release Developer

    Desai, N. & Lummis, V. (2025). How to explain AI/ML across the digital divide. GiveDirectly blog, 27 January 2025.

  3. Press release Developer

    Lummis, V., Luk, S. & Ramprasad, S. (2024). GiveDirectly's approach to responsible AI/ML. GiveDirectly blog, 8 July 2024.