Bradford AI may have identified the de Brecy Tondo as a Raphael

Ugail's deep-learning comparison found 97% facial similarity with the Sistine Madonna; Cartwright Hall showed the Tondo July 2023-Jan 2024; Raphael scholars call it a copy; Art Recognition says not.

AI system

System

University of Bradford facial-recognition deep-learning comparison (Hassan Ugail); contrasted with Art Recognition's authentication model

Model

Not assessed

Release

Not assessed

Application developer

University of Bradford and University of Nottingham team (Ugail); Art Recognition AG (Carina Popovici)

Role

Not assessed

Configuration

Not assessed

Inputs and outputs

Not assessed

Autonomy

Not assessed

Workflow

Deep-learning facial-feature comparison between the Tondo and the Sistine Madonna. Public exhibition by a municipal gallery.

Human oversight

Not assessed

Relation to AI

Bradford's model produced the similarity figures that underpinned the “undoubtedly Raphael” claim and the exhibition. Raphael scholars reject the attribution. Art Recognition's model gives 85% probability against Raphael. The evidence is press reporting and the deployer's own page. No peer-reviewed report of the Tondo analysis and no institutional acceptance was found.

AI contribution

Not assessed

Benefits

Outcome identifiers

Not assessed

Benefit

97% facial similarity with the Sistine Madonna

Category

Improved Knowledge Discovery

Status

Not assessed

Beneficiary groups

People. Organizations. Society.

Beneficiaries

Not assessed

Reach

Not assessed

Distribution and access

Not assessed

Duration

Not assessed

Expected?

Yes

Costs and harms

Not assessed

Measurement

Studies

Not assessed

Study design

Not assessed

Measurement

Not assessed

Setting and sample

Not assessed

Measures

97% facial similarity with the Sistine Madonna

Comparison

Not assessed

Results

97% facial similarity with the Sistine Madonna

Additional value from AI

Not assessed

Limitations

Not assessed

Denominators

Not assessed

Materials for replication

Not assessed

Money

Kind of value

Not assessed

Amount

Not assessed

Currency and prices

Not assessed

Period and unit

Not assessed

Realization

Not assessed

Recipients and payers

Not assessed

Gross or net

Not assessed

Included costs

Not assessed

Comparison

Not assessed

Method

Not assessed

Return and payback

Not assessed

People and places

Participants

Developer: University of Bradford and University of Nottingham team (Ugail); Art Recognition AG (Carina Popovici). Operator: de Brecy Trust; Bradford Museums & Galleries (Cartwright Hall Art Gallery).

Jurisdictions

Benefit: Bradford, England, UK. Developer: United Kingdom. Operator: United Kingdom.

Ownership and control

Not assessed

Dependencies

Not assessed

Cross-border connections

Not assessed

Geopolitical implications

Not assessed

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

Scholarly acceptance of AI attribution (absent). Agreement between independent AI authentication models (absent).

Replication attempts

2 follow-up entries. Benefit did not recur: 2.

Later findings

18 September 2023. Raphael scholars quoted by The Art Newspaper the day after the display opened called the painting a 19th-century copy, and in September 2023 (reported by Artnet on 18 September) the rival authentication firm Art Recognition said its model classified the Tondo as not by Raphael with 85 percent probability; no museum or auction house accepted the attribution.

Availability

Not assessed

Institutional decision

Not assessed

Grounds

Not assessed

Action and result

Not assessed

Success criterion

Not assessed

Evidence

Source numbers

AIBD-0276-source-0001–0005

Citations

Numbered references below.

Language

Not assessed

Source relationships

Independent, Operator, Developer

Original evidence

Not assessed

Access and versions

Not assessed

Supported findings

Not assessed

Evidence strength

Not assessed

Missing evidence

Not assessed

Grades

Assessed benefits

People. Organizations. Society.

Depth

People: Not assessed. Organizations: 1. Society: Not assessed.

Reasons

People: No individual beneficiary. Organizations: Bradford Museums exhibited the painting as a possible Raphael and extended the display “due to popular demand”. Society: The attribution is not accepted by scholars or institutions.

Observed or intended

Not assessed

Rubric

Not assessed

Assessor and date

Not assessed

Alternative assessments

Not assessed

Fill

Independently reported

Entry details

Kind

Not assessed

Field

Cultural heritage; art attribution. Museum visitors and the painting's owners.

Purpose

Test whether facial features in a disputed painting match those in an authenticated Raphael

Dates

Date basis unassessed: 2023 (precision unassessed). Updated: 21 October 2026.

Stage

Not assessed

Version

SHA-256: 1fd297a79151…

References

Other identifiers

Not assessed

Category mappings

Not assessed

Brief

Not assessed

Revisions

7 revisions. Latest: 21 October 2026.

Sources

  1. News report Independent author

    BBC News, 25 Jul 2023

  2. News report Independent author

    The Art Newspaper, 26 Jul 2023

  3. News report Independent author

    Artnet News, 18 Sep 2023

  4. Press release Deployer

    Bradford Museums & Galleries event page

  5. Other Developer

    Art Recognition AG (n.d.). Raphael and the de Brécy Tondo Madonna: When One AI Gets Ahead of the Evidence. Case study.