Some subprime borrowers get lower-priced credit at LendingClub

Jagtiani and Lemieux found that LendingClub rating grades' correlation with FICO fell from about 80% (2007 loans) to about 35% (2014–15) and that some traditionally subprime borrowers received bett...

AI system

System

LendingClub rating-grade model (grades A to G)

Model

Not assessed

Release

Not assessed

Application developer

LendingClub

Role

Not assessed

Configuration

Not assessed

Inputs and outputs

Not assessed

Autonomy

Not assessed

Workflow

Account-level LendingClub data compared with Y-14M bank data for similar loans, 2007 to 2015 vintages. Lender grading that increasingly used information not captured by FICO.

Human oversight

Not assessed

Relation to AI

The paper attributes the regrading of subprime borrowers to alternative data used by the lender. It does not establish that machine learning produced the grades. LendingClub developed and deployed its own model. The Federal Reserve authors are independent.

AI contribution

Not assessed

Benefits

Outcome identifiers

Not assessed

Benefit

about 8 percent of A-rated and 28 percent of B-rated borrowers had FICO scores below 680

Category

Increased Inclusion

Status

Not assessed

Beneficiary groups

People. Society.

Beneficiaries

Not assessed

Reach

Not assessed

Distribution and access

Not assessed

Duration

Not assessed

Expected?

Yes

Costs and harms

Not assessed

Measurement

Studies

Not assessed

Study design

Not assessed

Measurement

Not assessed

Setting and sample

Not assessed

Measures

about 8 percent of A-rated and 28 percent of B-rated borrowers had FICO scores below 680

Comparison

classification of borrowers by traditional credit criteria

Results

Reference: classified as subprime by traditional criteria. Result: slotted into “better” loan grades, which allowed them to get lower-priced credit.

Additional value from AI

Not assessed

Limitations

Not assessed

Denominators

Not assessed

Materials for replication

Not assessed

Money

Kind of value

Not assessed

Amount

Not assessed

Currency and prices

Not assessed

Period and unit

Not assessed

Realization

Not assessed

Recipients and payers

Not assessed

Gross or net

Not assessed

Included costs

Not assessed

Comparison

Not assessed

Method

Not assessed

Return and payback

Not assessed

People and places

Participants

Developer: LendingClub. Operator: LendingClub.

Jurisdictions

Developer: United States. Operator: United States.

Ownership and control

Not assessed

Dependencies

Not assessed

Cross-border connections

Not assessed

Geopolitical implications

Not assessed

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

Alternative data that predicts repayment beyond FICO. Grades that keep predicting loan performance (the paper reports good prediction over two years after origination).

Replication attempts

1 follow-up entries. Outcome unresolved: 1.

Later findings

No later finding on LendingClub's grades was found; the 2022 'Invisible Primes' paper concerns a different platform.

Availability

Not assessed

Institutional decision

Not assessed

Grounds

Not assessed

Action and result

Not assessed

Success criterion

Not assessed

Evidence

Source numbers

AIBD-0176-source-0001

Citations

Numbered references below.

Language

Not assessed

Source relationships

Independent

Original evidence

Not assessed

Access and versions

Not assessed

Supported findings

Not assessed

Evidence strength

Not assessed

Missing evidence

Not assessed

Grades

Assessed benefits

People. Society.

Depth

Not assessed

Reasons

People: Effects on borrowers are reported as vintage-level shares and spreads, not as outcomes for identifiable individuals. Society: Financial-inclusion effects are discussed at the aggregate level only.

Observed or intended

Not assessed

Rubric

Not assessed

Assessor and date

Not assessed

Alternative assessments

Not assessed

Fill

Independently reported

Entry details

Kind

Not assessed

Field

Consumer credit. Marketplace consumer lending.

Purpose

Assign rating grades and price consumer loans on the LendingClub marketplace.

Dates

Date basis unassessed: 2019 (precision unassessed). Updated: 21 October 2026.

Stage

Not assessed

Version

SHA-256: 3b29bea167a2…

References

Other identifiers

Not assessed

Category mappings

Not assessed

Brief

Not assessed

Revisions

6 revisions. Latest: 21 October 2026.

Sources

  1. Preprint Independent author

    Julapa Jagtiani and Catharine Lemieux, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Working Paper 18-15, revised January 2019 (later in Financial Management, DOI 10.1111/fima.12295, issued 2019-11-06 per Crossref)