ALERTCalifornia AI flags smoke; fire held under a quarter acre

AI on Cleveland National Forest cameras flagged smoke at about 3 am on 5 August 2023; Cal Fire held the verified fire under a quarter acre.

22ⓘ

AI system

System

ALERTCalifornia AI wildfire detection (machine-learned smoke and anomaly detection on the ALERTCalifornia pan-tilt-zoom camera network)

Model

Not assessed

Release

Not assessed

Application developer

ALERTCalifornia, University of California San Diego, with industry partner Digital Path

Role

Not assessed

Configuration

Not assessed

Inputs and outputs

Not assessed

Autonomy

Not assessed

Workflow

A camera network with machine-learned smoke detection watching remote forest at night, when human spotting is weakest. A verification step by trained operators that turns a model flag into a confirmed alert to the local Cal Fire station. A fire still small at detection, with a crew close enough to reach it before it grows.

Human oversight

Operators checked the alert before dispatch because dust, insects, and weather can produce false detections. Fire crews responded and contained the fire.

Relation to AI

The model's contribution was the detection. Its algorithm flagged a smoke column in a Cleveland National Forest camera feed at about 3 am. Human operators verified it before Cal Fire was alerted. The containment was done by Captain Yeary's crews. No source records whether a 911 call would have come later. The time gained is documented only for the program as a whole. TIME reports 77 fires identified before any 911 call in the first two months. UC San Diego's Neal Driscoll says the alerts beat 911 calls about 40 percent of the time. AFP also notes the system sometimes misreads dust, insects or weather as smoke. That is why the human verification step sits between the model and the dispatch.

AI contribution

ALERTCalifornia flagged smoke in a camera feed at about 3 a.m. Operators verified the detection and notified Cal Fire, whose crews contained the fire.

Benefits

Outcome identifiers

Not assessed

Benefit

Cal Fire held the verified fire under a quarter acre

Category

Reduced Risk

Status

Not assessed

Beneficiary groups

Organizations. Society.

Beneficiaries

Not assessed

Reach

Not assessed

Distribution and access

Not assessed

Duration

Not assessed

Expected?

Yes

Costs and harms

Not assessed

Measurement

Studies

Not assessed

Study design

Not assessed

Measurement

Not assessed

Setting and sample

Not assessed

Measures

Cal Fire held the verified fire under a quarter acre

Comparison

911 calls from the public as the first notice of a fire

Results

Reference: not stated. Result: the AI beats 911 calls about 40 percent of the time.

Additional value from AI

Not assessed

Limitations

The account does not establish when a 911 call would otherwise have arrived. Figures about alerts preceding 911 calls describe the wider program rather than this fire.

Denominators

Not assessed

Materials for replication

Not assessed

Money

Kind of value

Not assessed

Amount

Not assessed

Currency and prices

Not assessed

Period and unit

Not assessed

Realization

Not assessed

Recipients and payers

Not assessed

Gross or net

Not assessed

Included costs

Not assessed

Comparison

Not assessed

Method

Not assessed

Return and payback

Not assessed

People and places

Participants

Developer: ALERTCalifornia, University of California San Diego, with industry partner Digital Path. Operator: California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (CAL FIRE).

Jurisdictions

Benefit: Mount Laguna, California, United States. Developer: United States. Operator: United States.

Ownership and control

Not assessed

Dependencies

Not assessed

Cross-border connections

Not assessed

Geopolitical implications

Not assessed

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

The detection must precede any human report for the time gained to be attributable to the model. For this fire no source documents the absence of a 911 call. Human verification must be fast enough that the alert still arrives in the incipient phase. False positives from dust, insects or weather must be screened out so that crews keep trusting the alerts.

Replication attempts

Not assessed

Later findings

1 September 2023. After the summer trial the AI tool was rolled out to all 21 Cal Fire dispatch centers in September 2023 (day not given; first day of month used), and TIME named it one of the best inventions of 2023 on 24 October 2023.

Availability

Not assessed

Institutional decision

Not assessed

Grounds

Not assessed

Action and result

Not assessed

Success criterion

Not assessed

Evidence

Source numbers

AIBD-0120-source-0001–0009

Citations

Numbered references below.

Language

Not assessed

Source relationships

Independent, Developer

Original evidence

Not assessed

Access and versions

Not assessed

Supported findings

Not assessed

Evidence strength

Not assessed

Missing evidence

Not assessed

Grades

Assessed benefits

Organizations. Society.

Depth

Organizations: 2. Society: 2.

Reasons

Organizations: Cal Fire's Mount Laguna station received a verified alert at about 3 am. Its crews extinguished the fire at under a quarter acre. Cal Fire intelligence specialist Suzann Leininger says the system “is getting us time to react in a faster manner”. Society: Residents, property and forest around Mount Laguna were spared a larger fire. Captain Yeary's statement that it “could have been a devastating fire” is a judgment, not a proven counterfactual.

Observed or intended

Not assessed

Rubric

Not assessed

Assessor and date

Not assessed

Alternative assessments

Not assessed

Fill

Independently reported

Entry details

Kind

Not assessed

Field

Emergency services (wildfire detection and response). State fire agency using a university camera network.

Purpose

The tool was built to spot smoke in ALERTCalifornia camera feeds and notify Cal Fire emergency command centers. Crews can then reach a fire in its incipient phase. This detection was that purpose.

Dates

Date basis unassessed: 2023 (precision unassessed). Updated: 21 October 2026.

Stage

Not assessed

Version

SHA-256: 6a95bb51aedb…

References

Other identifiers

oecd_aim: 2023-09-12-f6ac.

Category mappings

Not assessed

Brief

Not assessed

Revisions

5 revisions. Latest: 21 October 2026.

Sources

  1. News report Independent author

    Fonsegrives R. / AFP via Phys.org (2023). California firefighters use AI to battle wildfires. AFP wire report.

  2. News report Independent author

    AFP via Asharq Al-Awsat English (2023). California Firefighters Use AI to Battle Wildfires. Same AFP wire text (not independent of the Phys.org copy).

  3. News report Independent author

    AFP via France 24 (2023). California firefighters use AI to battle wildfires. Same AFP wire text (not independent).

  4. News report Independent author

    Fonsegrives R. / AFP via Oman Observer (2023). Firefighters use AI to battle wildfires. Same AFP wire text (not independent).

  5. News report Independent author

    Dixit P. / TIME (2023). AlertCalifornia and Cal Fire AI Wildfire Detector. The Best Inventions of 2023.

  6. News report Independent author

    Jennewein C. / Times of San Diego (2023). Time Magazine: California's AI Wildfire Detection System a Top Invention of 2023. Describes a second AI-first detection near Grass Valley on 11 September 2023.

  7. Press release Developer

    CAL FIRE and ALERTCalifornia (2023). CAL FIRE and University of California San Diego's ALERTCalifornia Program Join Forces to Enhance Wildfire Response with Artificial Intelligence Implementation Trial. Agency press release, Sacramento.

  8. Press release Developer

    Scully C. / UC San Diego Today (2023). ALERTCalifornia and CAL FIRE's Fire Detection AI Program Named One of TIME's Best Inventions of 2023. University news release.

  9. Press release Developer

    ALERTCalifornia / UC San Diego (n.d.). Technology. Programme web page describing the AI detection workflow and watchstander vetting.