Facebook ML maps cut Red Cross Malawi mapping area to 2,745 km²

Facebook's ML settlement maps cut Red Cross mapping for Malawi's June 2017 measles vaccination campaign (Measles & Rubella Initiative) from 94,080 km² to 2,745 km²

AI system

System

Facebook (Meta) High Resolution Settlement Layer population density maps

Model

Not assessed

Release

Not assessed

Application developer

Facebook Inc. with CIESIN, Columbia University, and the World Bank Development Data Group

Role

Not assessed

Configuration

Not assessed

Inputs and outputs

Not assessed

Autonomy

Not assessed

Workflow

Facebook settlement detection from satellite imagery. Missing Maps volunteer tracing into OpenStreetMap. Comparison with existing OpenStreetMap coverage. Mobile data-collection dashboard for campaign monitors.

Human oversight

Not assessed

Relation to AI

The Facebook settlement data determined where volunteer mapping effort went and which areas were skipped. The campaign itself was a Measles & Rubella Initiative effort supported by the American Red Cross and other partners, with monitors from the national government. The Red Cross attributes efficiency, not coverage, to the maps. The Red Cross account is the implementing organization's and names only “Facebook's population datasets”, without mentioning machine learning. The identification with the High Resolution Settlement Layer and the machine-learning description are taken from the vendor-authored Tiecke et al. preprint. It does not mention the Malawi campaign.

AI contribution

The Facebook settlement data determined where volunteer mapping effort went and which areas were skipped. The campaign itself was a Measles & Rubella Initiative effort supported by the American Red Cross and other partners, with monitors from the national government. The Red Cross attributes efficiency, not coverage, to the maps. The Red Cross account is the implementing organization's and names only “Facebook's population datasets”, without mentioning machine learning. The identification with the High Resolution Settlement Layer and the machine-learning description are taken from the vendor-authored Tiecke et al. preprint. It does not mention the Malawi campaign.

Benefits

Outcome identifiers

Not assessed

Benefit

reducing the area to map from 94,080 km² to 2,745 km²

Category

Reduced Task Time

Status

Not assessed

Beneficiary groups

People. Organizations. Society.

Beneficiaries

Not assessed

Reach

Not assessed

Distribution and access

Not assessed

Duration

Not assessed

Expected?

Yes

Costs and harms

Not assessed

Measurement

Studies

Not assessed

Study design

Not assessed

Measurement

Not assessed

Setting and sample

Not assessed

Measures

reducing the area to map from 94,080 km² to 2,745 km²

Comparison

mapping the whole national land area without the settlement maps (the normal Missing Maps approach)

Results

Reference: 94,080km2. Result: 2,745 km2.

Additional value from AI

Not assessed

Limitations

Not assessed

Denominators

Not assessed

Materials for replication

Not assessed

Money

Kind of value

Not assessed

Amount

Not assessed

Currency and prices

Not assessed

Period and unit

Not assessed

Realization

Not assessed

Recipients and payers

Not assessed

Gross or net

Not assessed

Included costs

Not assessed

Comparison

Not assessed

Method

Not assessed

Return and payback

Not assessed

People and places

Participants

Developer: Facebook Inc. with CIESIN, Columbia University, and the World Bank Development Data Group. Operator: American Red Cross (Missing Maps) supporting the Measles and Rubella Initiative campaign in Malawi.

Jurisdictions

Benefit: Malawi (nationwide). Developer: United States. Operator: United States.

Ownership and control

Not assessed

Dependencies

Not assessed

Cross-border connections

Not assessed

Geopolitical implications

Not assessed

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

Imagery recent enough to reflect current settlements. Building-detection accuracy in rural Malawi. Volunteer and local mapping capacity.

Replication attempts

Not assessed

Later findings

10 August 2017. After the June 2017 campaign the Red Cross's Missing Maps team reported that the traced base map underpinned a real-time monitoring dashboard covering 13,743 children, and again credited Facebook's population data with filtering uninhabited areas out of the tracing tasks.

Availability

Not assessed

Institutional decision

Not assessed

Grounds

Not assessed

Action and result

Not assessed

Success criterion

Not assessed

Evidence

Source numbers

AIBD-0097-source-0001–0003

Citations

Numbered references below.

Language

Not assessed

Source relationships

Operator, Developer

Original evidence

Not assessed

Access and versions

Not assessed

Supported findings

Not assessed

Evidence strength

Not assessed

Missing evidence

Not assessed

Grades

Assessed benefits

People. Organizations. Society.

Depth

People: Not assessed. Organizations: 2. Society: Not assessed.

Reasons

People: The source reports no outcome for the 7.5 million targeted children. Any benefit is indirect and unquantified. Organizations: Mapping area reduced from 94,080 km² to 2,745 km² and the base map completed in a fraction of the normal time. Society: A supporting role in one national campaign whose coverage effect was not measured.

Observed or intended

Not assessed

Rubric

Not assessed

Assessor and date

Not assessed

Alternative assessments

Not assessed

Fill

The deployer's account

Entry details

Kind

Not assessed

Field

Humanitarian mapping for immunization campaign support. Humanitarian NGO.

Purpose

Produce high-resolution population and settlement maps from satellite imagery for planning and humanitarian use.

Dates

Date basis unassessed: 2017 (precision unassessed). Updated: 21 October 2026.

Stage

Not assessed

Version

SHA-256: 2e41991900b4…

References

Other identifiers

AI Incident Database: 1159.

Category mappings

Not assessed

Brief

Not assessed

Revisions

7 revisions. Latest: 21 October 2026.

Sources

  1. Preprint Developer

    Tiecke, T. G., Liu, X., Zhang, A., Gros, A., Li, N., Yetman, G., et al. (2017). Mapping the world population one building at a time. arXiv:1712.05839.

  2. Press release Deployer

    American Red Cross (2017). Data: A vital tool for disaster response.

  3. Press release Deployer

    Eros, E., Schmeltzer, A. (2017). Stop the spots: Measles vaccinations in Malawi. Missing Maps blog (American Red Cross), 10 August 2017.