Insilico's rentosertib improves FVC in a phase 2a IPF trial

Phase 2a GENESIS-IPF trial in China: 60 mg daily rentosertib +98.4 mL FVC vs -20.3 mL placebo at 12 weeks; cohort-level, sponsor-run

AI system

System

Insilico Medicine generative-AI drug discovery platform (target discovery and generative chemistry) that produced rentosertib (ISM001-055)

Model

Not assessed

Release

Exact release not established.

Application developer

Insilico Medicine

Role

The tools identified a drug target and designed a candidate molecule.

Configuration

PandaOmics supported target discovery. Chemistry42 supported molecular design within Insilico Medicine’s Pharma.AI platform.

Inputs and outputs

Not assessed

Autonomy

Not assessed

Workflow

Generative-AI target identification (TNIK) and molecule design by the sponsor. Sponsor-run 12-week, double-blind phase 2a trial at Chinese centers with safety as the primary endpoint.

Human oversight

Not assessed

Relation to AI

The AI role is upstream: generative-AI tools identified TNIK as a target and designed the molecule. Any clinical effect is pharmacological. The trial was not powered for efficacy and FVC was not the primary endpoint. An independent network meta-analysis ranks rentosertib favorably on FVC decline but reports a non-significant trend toward more serious adverse events.

AI contribution

The AI role is upstream: generative-AI tools identified TNIK as a target and designed the molecule. Any clinical effect is pharmacological. The trial was not powered for efficacy and FVC was not the primary endpoint. An independent network meta-analysis ranks rentosertib favorably on FVC decline but reports a non-significant trend toward more serious adverse events.

Benefits

Outcome identifiers

Not assessed

Benefit

mean forced vital capacity change of +98.4 mL versus -20.3 mL on placebo over 12 weeks

Category

Improved Physical Health

Status

Not assessed

Beneficiary groups

People. Society.

Beneficiaries

Not assessed

Reach

Not assessed

Distribution and access

Not assessed

Duration

Not assessed

Expected?

Yes

Costs and harms

Not assessed

Measurement

Studies

Not assessed

Study design

Not assessed

Measurement

Not assessed

Setting and sample

Not assessed

Measures

mean forced vital capacity change of +98.4 mL versus -20.3 mL on placebo over 12 weeks

Comparison

placebo

Results

Reference: −20.3 ml (95% confidence interval −116.1 to 75.6) for the placebo group. Result: +98.4 ml (95% confidence interval 10.9 to 185.9) for patients in the 60 mg rentosertib QD group.

Additional value from AI

Not assessed

Limitations

Not assessed

Denominators

Not assessed

Materials for replication

Not assessed

Money

Kind of value

Not assessed

Amount

Not assessed

Currency and prices

Not assessed

Period and unit

Not assessed

Realization

Not assessed

Recipients and payers

Not assessed

Gross or net

Not assessed

Included costs

Not assessed

Comparison

Not assessed

Method

Not assessed

Return and payback

Not assessed

People and places

Participants

Developer: Insilico Medicine. Operator: Insilico Medicine (trial sponsor) with 21 clinical centers in China.

Jurisdictions

Developer: United States. Operator: United States.

Ownership and control

Not assessed

Dependencies

Not assessed

Cross-border connections

Not assessed

Geopolitical implications

Not assessed

Follow-up

Conditions for replication

The FVC signal must be confirmed in a larger, longer, geographically diverse phase 3 trial. Hepatic adverse events and the serious-adverse-event trend must remain acceptable.

Replication attempts

Not assessed

Later findings

7 July 2026. Insilico announced a 320-patient, 47-center, 52-week phase III trial of rentosertib in China on 7 July 2026, moving the drug past the 71-patient phase 2a stage.

Availability

Not assessed

Institutional decision

Not assessed

Grounds

Not assessed

Action and result

Not assessed

Success criterion

Not assessed

Evidence

Source numbers

AIBD-0006-source-0001–0007

Citations

Numbered references below.

Language

Not assessed

Source relationships

Insilico sponsored the trial and supplied the ClinicalTrials.gov entry and results. The registry is not an independent regulator’s finding. The paper discloses the company’s role and employee authors. [1] [2]

Original evidence

Insilico sponsored the trial and supplied the ClinicalTrials.gov entry and results. The registry is not an independent regulator’s finding. The paper discloses the company’s role and employee authors. [1] [2]

Access and versions

Not assessed

Supported findings

Not assessed

Evidence strength

Not assessed

Missing evidence

Not assessed

Grades

Assessed benefits

People. Society.

Depth

Not assessed

Reasons

People: The FVC improvement is a cohort mean from a 71-patient, 12-week, sponsor-run phase 2a trial with safety as the primary endpoint. Society: Any wider benefit depends on confirmation in larger, longer trials, which the authors themselves say are warranted.

Observed or intended

Not assessed

Rubric

Not assessed

Assessor and date

Not assessed

Alternative assessments

Not assessed

Fill

Independently studied

Entry details

Kind

Not assessed

Field

Pharmaceutical R&D / respiratory medicine. Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Purpose

Rentosertib was designed as an antifibrotic treatment for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. The trial tested the safety and preliminary efficacy of exactly that intended benefit.

Dates

Date basis unassessed: 2024 (precision unassessed). Updated: 25 October 2026.

Stage

Not assessed

Version

SHA-256: 4feab4514c12…

References

Other identifiers

Not assessed

Category mappings

Not assessed

Brief

Not assessed

Revisions

7 revisions. Latest: 25 October 2026.

Sources

  1. Peer-reviewed study Developer

    Xu Z et al. (2025). A generative AI-discovered TNIK inhibitor for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a randomized phase 2a trial. Nature Medicine 31:2602–2610. doi:10.1038/s41591-025-03743-2. Insilico Medicine sponsored the trial; eleven authors were employees, and sponsor-employed authors participated in trial design, collection, analysis, and interpretation.

    Establishes sponsorship and employee involvement in the trial. Competing interests and Author contributions.

    Original sponsor-funded study.

  2. Registry label Developer

    Insilico Medicine Hong Kong Limited. ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05938920, phase IIa trial of INS018_055 in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Sponsor-supplied registration and results, first posted July 11, 2023; results first posted December 2, 2025.

    Sponsor-supplied registration and results hosted by the U.S. National Library of Medicine. Identifies the sponsor/responsible party and the posted outcomes. protocolSection.sponsorCollaboratorsModule; resultsSection.outcomeMeasuresModule; statusModule.

    Sponsor-supplied registration and results hosted by the U.S. National Library of Medicine.

  3. Peer-reviewed study Independent author

    Xu J, Liu X, Liang X, Cai X, Qian W (2026). Comparative efficacy and safety of monotherapy and combination pharmacotherapies for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. BMC Pulmonary Medicine.

  4. Peer-reviewed study Independent author

    Khairil L, Benny KHS, Jerry J, Khatib FM, Che Ramli MD, Kumar S (2026). AI in Drug Discovery: Clinical Failures, Regulatory Reality, and the Validation Crisis Behind the Hype. Pharmaceuticals.

  5. Peer-reviewed study Independent author

    Magrì T, Richeldi L (2026). Contemporary Concise Review 2025: Interstitial Lung Disease. Respirology.

  6. News report Independent author

    Hornick I (2025). Q&A: AI-established drug 'breakthrough in the treatment of IPF'. Healio. (Interviewees: Zuojun Xu, Peking Union Medical College; Alex Zhavoronkov, Insilico CEO.)

  7. Press release Developer

    Insilico Medicine. Insilico Initiates Phase III Clinical Trial for Rentosertib, Its AI-Empowered TNIK Inhibitor for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis. 7 July 2026.