{"id":"AIBD-0919","title":"Sweden's Social Insurance Inspectorate finds that about 74% of investigations from Försäkringskassan's risk-based selections led to action in 2024","summary":"Sweden's Social Insurance Inspectorate found that about 74% of investigations started by Försäkringskassan's risk-based selections led to action in 2024, against 40% from public tips.","date_observed":"2024-01-01","date_basis":"event","date_precision":"year","benefit_status":"reported","source_collection":null,"source_entry":null,"account":"Försäkringskassan, the Swedish Social Insurance Agency, opens control investigations when it suspects that benefits are paid on false grounds. Many start from tips by the public or other agencies. Others start from the agency's own risk-based selections, which analyze patterns in its registers to find cases with a high risk of wrong payments. A unit of its control function builds selection profiles, with a legal check against discrimination and data protection law. In a report published on 17 December 2025, the Social Insurance Inspectorate (ISF) found that about 74% of investigations started from risk-based selections in 2024 led to action. Action means that the agency stopped, cut or reclaimed a benefit or rejected a claim. The share was 40% for investigations started by tips from the public. The agency started 4,152 investigations from such selections that year. ISF did not examine the factors that the selections use. Its report does not say whether they rely on machine learning. An earlier ISF review measured one profile, for temporary parental benefit in 2017. 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In 2024 targeted checks based on indicators of wrong payments produced 3,843 of the agency's risk-based impulses. Selection profiles that the control function develops produced 485. ISF does not say whether either kind learns from data. The data protection authority found that the agency had used a machine-learning risk profile for targeted checks of temporary parental benefit and had withdrawn it by September 2025."},"evidence":[{"kind":"audit report","citation":"Inspektionen för socialförsäkringen (ISF). Kontrollutredningar vid misstänkta bidragsbrott: En granskning av Försäkringskassans och Pensionsmyndighetens arbete vid misstanke om ersättning på felaktiga grunder. ISF Rapport 2025:14, published 17 December 2025. Section 3.3, printed pp. 67-68, and Bilaga 1, Figur B4.","title":"Kontrollutredningar vid misstänkta bidragsbrott (ISF Rapport 2025:14)","url":"https://isf.se/download/18.64c0dda619afce1ad7d1cbd5/1768374582621/Rapport%202025-14%20Kontrollutredningar%20vid%20misst%C3%A4nkta%20bidragsbrott.pdf","date":"2025-12-17","written_by":"independent","quote":"Under 2024 ledde cirka 74 procent av de kontrollutredningarna till åtgärd, jämfört med 40 procent av kontrollutredningarna som hade startats på grund av ett tips från allmänheten."},{"kind":"regulatory document","citation":"Integritetsskyddsmyndigheten (IMY). Beslut efter tillsyn enligt dataskyddsförordningen – Försäkringskassan. 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