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It presents a verification of the 2024 western North Pacific season. CMA, HKO, JMA, KMA and the Shanghai Meteorological Service submitted forecasts from 19 AI model setups. They included Pangu-Weather, GraphCast, FengWu, FuXi, AIFS and FourCastNet. The team checked them against best-track data from RSMC Tokyo. It compared the best AI setup from each member with official forecasts from five agencies and with the ECMWF and JMA global models. The team found that the AI models consistently had the smallest mean position errors, with the advantage growing at longer lead times. For intensity, the AI models systematically underestimated storms, and official forecasts kept biases often more than 50% lower. The results cover one season, and the AI group held each member's best-performing model.","replication":{"produced_by":["Five agencies ran AI models from the initial conditions of global models and tracked storm centers in the output.","The team verified the forecasts against RSMC Tokyo best-track data up to 120 hours."],"must_hold":["The result holds over more seasons, which the team calls for.","Intensity forecasts come from other sources, since the AI models underestimate intensity."],"echoes":[]}}},"provenance":{"kind":"legacy_record","basis":"Editorial assignment.","record_fields":["account","replication"],"source_refs":[]},"review_state":"record_mapped","coverage":"partial"}},"summary":{"total":91,"addressed":91,"known":29,"reviewed":2,"reviewed_complete":2,"reviewed_partial":0,"record_mapped":27,"review_not_assessed":62,"not_assessed":0,"complete":false,"by_state":{"value_present":29,"not_reported":0,"unresolved":62,"not_assessed":0,"not_applicable":0,"withheld":0,"source_unavailable":0}}},"presentation_version":"8709db433e916c7dafacfdfa7e478664d1afd0a4c2b0f677fc63f1548b70d61f"}
