{
  "id": "AIBD-0579",
  "title": "COMPOSER sepsis alerts are associated with lower mortality at UC San Diego Health",
  "summary": "At UC San Diego, mortality after COMPOSER deployment was 9.49%, versus a modeled 11.39% without it.",
  "date_observed": "2024-01-23",
  "date_basis": "source publication",
  "date_precision": "day",
  "benefit_status": "reported",
  "source_collection": null,
  "source_entry": null,
  "account": "UC San Diego Health evaluated COMPOSER in two emergency departments among 6,217 adults with sepsis. The model went live on December 7, 2022, with follow-up through April 30, 2023. Post-deployment mortality was 9.49%, compared with a modeled counterfactual of 11.39%: an adjusted reduction of 1.9 percentage points (95% confidence interval 0.3–3.5). Raw pre-deployment mortality was 10.3%. The estimated benefit was statistically significant at one hospital and not the other. The study used historical controls, without randomization or a concurrent untreated group.",
  "category": "general benefit",
  "unexpected": false,
  "purpose": "Identify emerging sepsis so that clinical teams can assess and treat patients sooner.",
  "system": "COMPOSER deep-learning sepsis prediction and nurse alert system",
  "model_version": null,
  "developer": "University of California San Diego research team",
  "deployer": "UC San Diego Health",
  "location": "San Diego, California, United States",
  "domain": "Healthcare - sepsis",
  "segment": "Electronic-health-record early warning system",
  "benefit_type": "Improved Physical Health",
  "taxonomy_note": null,
  "registry_ids": {},
  "ratings": [
    {
      "group": "personal",
      "depth": 5,
      "reason": "The reported benefit is lower mortality. Its magnitude is estimated against a historical model rather than a randomized control."
    }
  ],
  "ai_role": {
    "status": "assessed",
    "statement": "COMPOSER analyzed patient data and alerted nurses to possible sepsis. Nurses reviewed patients with physicians, who selected treatment. The outcome concerns AI-assisted clinical care."
  },
  "evidence": [
    {
      "kind": "peer-reviewed study",
      "citation": "Boussina A, Shashikumar SP, Malhotra A, et al. (2024). npj Digital Medicine 7:14. doi:10.1038/s41746-023-00986-6. Evaluation by COMPOSER's developers and deploying health system. Results; corrected Table 3; Supplementary Notes 2–8 and hospital-specific analyses.",
      "title": "Impact of a deep learning sepsis prediction model on quality of care and survival",
      "url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10805720/",
      "date": "2024-01-23",
      "written_by": "makers",
      "quote": null
    },
    {
      "kind": "peer-reviewed study",
      "citation": "Boussina A, Shashikumar SP, Malhotra A, et al. (2024). Author Correction: Impact of a deep learning sepsis prediction model on quality of care and survival. npj Digital Medicine 7:153. doi:10.1038/s41746-024-01149-x.",
      "title": "Author Correction: Impact of a deep learning sepsis prediction model on quality of care and survival",
      "url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11169238/",
      "date": "2024-06-12",
      "written_by": "makers",
      "quote": null
    },
    {
      "kind": "peer-reviewed study",
      "citation": "Supreeth P. Shashikumar et al., “Artificial Intelligence Sepsis Prediction Algorithm Learns to Say ‘I Don’t Know,’” npj Digital Medicine 4 (2021): 134, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-021-00504-6.",
      "title": "Artificial intelligence sepsis prediction algorithm learns to say “I don’t know”",
      "url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8429719/",
      "date": "2021-09-09",
      "written_by": "makers",
      "quote": null
    }
  ],
  "replication": {
    "produced_by": [
      "Continuous analysis of electronic patient data and alerts delivered to nursing staff.",
      "Nurse review, physician assessment, and treatment at UC San Diego Medical Center and Jacobs Medical Center."
    ],
    "must_hold": [
      "Reliable data and prompt clinical assessment are likely requirements. Local evaluation is needed to establish whether the benefit recurs."
    ],
    "echoes": []
  },
  "paired_incident": null,
  "headline": "COMPOSER sepsis alerts are linked to lower mortality",
  "metric": "1.9 percentage points",
  "comparator": {
    "against": "Modeled post-deployment mortality without COMPOSER, using historical data and adjustment for confounders",
    "before": "11.39% modeled counterfactual mortality",
    "after": "9.49% observed post-deployment mortality",
    "basis": "assumed",
    "quote": "the expected counterfactual mortality rate would have been 11.39% with a 95% confidence interval of [9.79%, 13.00%]",
    "url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10805720/"
  },
  "later": null,
  "value": null,
  "developer_country": "United States",
  "deployer_country": "United States",
  "unrated_because": null,
  "brief_notes": null,
  "brief": null,
  "revisions": [
    {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "change": "Added the case.",
      "source": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10805720/",
      "editor": "AIBD"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "change": "Followed COMPOSER's outcome paper to its supplement, model-development paper and author correction. The correction restores missing Table 3 and its citation. Removed the institutional press release because the current case's results and workflow are already documented by the original study. Preserved the historical-control design and modeled counterfactual.",
      "source": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10805720/",
      "editor": "AIBD"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "change": "Identified the AI model, software, configuration, and human controls from the original paper, supplement, or author documentation.",
      "source": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10805720/",
      "editor": "AIBD"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "change": "Reviewed the original evidence and supporting material; updated system details, methods, outcomes, limitations, costs, and source lineage.",
      "source": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10805720/",
      "editor": "AIBD"
    }
  ],
  "confidence": "claimed",
  "shade": "low",
  "claim_status": "The makers' claim",
  "claim_basis": "Sources: three peer-reviewed studies from the makers. The cited evidence includes no independent source and no finding by a regulator or court.",
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          "answer": "The study analyzed 6,217 sepsis encounters. Its estimate of 22 additional survivors comes from the counterfactual model."
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      "outcomes[].claim": {
        "state": "value_present",
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          "kind": "text",
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          "text": "Nurses acknowledged the alert and could notify a physician. Clinicians decided on tests and treatment."
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        "provenance": {
          "kind": "source_review",
          "basis": "Read the corrected deployment paper, “Sepsis algorithm and platform”, and supplement, Note 2 and Figure 1. Followed reference 15 to the original COMPOSER paper and read its Model description and Figure 1.",
          "record_fields": [],
          "source_refs": [
            "AIBD-0579-source-0001",
            "AIBD-0579-source-0003"
          ],
          "reviewed_on": "2026-10-25"
        },
        "review_state": "reviewed",
        "coverage": "partial"
      },
      "systems[].component_role": {
        "state": "value_present",
        "value": {
          "kind": "text",
          "text": "COMPOSER estimated sepsis risk over the next four hours and reported the measurements that contributed to each alert."
        },
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "source_review",
          "basis": "Read the corrected deployment paper, “Sepsis algorithm and platform”, and supplement, Note 2 and Figure 1. Followed reference 15 to the original COMPOSER paper and read its Model description and Figure 1.",
          "record_fields": [],
          "source_refs": [
            "AIBD-0579-source-0001",
            "AIBD-0579-source-0003"
          ],
          "reviewed_on": "2026-10-25"
        },
        "review_state": "reviewed",
        "coverage": "partial"
      },
      "systems[].deployment_configuration": {
        "state": "value_present",
        "value": {
          "kind": "structured",
          "data": {
            "prediction_horizon_hours": 4,
            "data_refresh": "hourly",
            "sensitivity_target_percent": 80,
            "alert_lockout_hours": {
              "no_infection": 8,
              "notify_or_workup_underway": 12
            },
            "performance_review": "every two weeks",
            "retraining_trigger": "positive predictive value below 20%; no retraining reported by study end",
            "hosting": "AWS",
            "interface": "Epic Best Practice Advisory to nurses"
          }
        },
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "source_review",
          "basis": "Methods: model integration and clinical workflow; Supplementary Notes 2–3.",
          "record_fields": [],
          "source_refs": [
            "AIBD-0579-source-0001"
          ],
          "reviewed_on": "2026-10-25"
        },
        "review_state": "reviewed",
        "coverage": "complete",
        "display": {
          "answer": "The system assessed risk over the next four hours and issued nurse alerts in Epic. Repeat alerts were suppressed for eight or twelve hours after a response."
        }
      },
      "systems[].inputs_outputs": {
        "state": "value_present",
        "value": {
          "kind": "text",
          "text": "COMPOSER analyzed clinical measurements and their timing to estimate sepsis risk and identify the main contributing factors."
        },
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "source_review",
          "basis": "Read the corrected deployment paper, “Sepsis algorithm and platform”, and supplement, Note 2 and Figure 1. Followed reference 15 to the original COMPOSER paper and read its Model description and Figure 1.",
          "record_fields": [],
          "source_refs": [
            "AIBD-0579-source-0001",
            "AIBD-0579-source-0003"
          ],
          "reviewed_on": "2026-10-25"
        },
        "review_state": "reviewed",
        "coverage": "partial"
      },
      "systems[].model_name": {
        "state": "value_present",
        "value": {
          "kind": "text",
          "text": "COMPOSER, a feedforward neural network with conformal prediction."
        },
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "source_review",
          "basis": "Read the corrected deployment paper, “Sepsis algorithm and platform”, and supplement, Note 2 and Figure 1. Followed reference 15 to the original COMPOSER paper and read its Model description and Figure 1.",
          "record_fields": [],
          "source_refs": [
            "AIBD-0579-source-0001",
            "AIBD-0579-source-0003"
          ],
          "reviewed_on": "2026-10-25"
        },
        "review_state": "reviewed",
        "coverage": "partial"
      },
      "systems[].model_version": {
        "state": "not_reported",
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "source_review",
          "basis": "Read the corrected deployment paper, “Sepsis algorithm and platform”, and supplement, Note 2 and Figure 1. Followed reference 15 to the original COMPOSER paper and read its Model description and Figure 1.",
          "record_fields": [],
          "source_refs": [
            "AIBD-0579-source-0001",
            "AIBD-0579-source-0003"
          ],
          "reviewed_on": "2026-10-25"
        },
        "reason": "The deployment report does not give a release or checkpoint identifier.",
        "review_state": "reviewed",
        "coverage": "partial",
        "display": {
          "answer": "The deployment report does not give a release or checkpoint identifier."
        }
      },
      "systems[].product_name": {
        "state": "value_present",
        "value": {
          "kind": "text",
          "text": "COMPOSER with a nurse-facing alert in Epic."
        },
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "source_review",
          "basis": "Read the corrected deployment paper, “Sepsis algorithm and platform”, and supplement, Note 2 and Figure 1. Followed reference 15 to the original COMPOSER paper and read its Model description and Figure 1.",
          "record_fields": [],
          "source_refs": [
            "AIBD-0579-source-0001",
            "AIBD-0579-source-0003"
          ],
          "reviewed_on": "2026-10-25"
        },
        "review_state": "reviewed",
        "coverage": "partial"
      },
      "systems[].provider": {
        "state": "value_present",
        "value": {
          "kind": "text",
          "text": "University of California San Diego."
        },
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "source_review",
          "basis": "Read the corrected deployment paper, “Sepsis algorithm and platform”, and supplement, Note 2 and Figure 1. Followed reference 15 to the original COMPOSER paper and read its Model description and Figure 1.",
          "record_fields": [],
          "source_refs": [
            "AIBD-0579-source-0001",
            "AIBD-0579-source-0003"
          ],
          "reviewed_on": "2026-10-25"
        },
        "review_state": "reviewed",
        "coverage": "partial"
      },
      "taxonomy_crosswalks[]": {
        "state": "not_assessed",
        "review_state": "not_assessed",
        "coverage": "partial"
      },
      "title": {
        "state": "value_present",
        "value": {
          "kind": "record_fields",
          "fields": {
            "title": "COMPOSER sepsis alerts are associated with lower mortality at UC San Diego Health",
            "headline": "COMPOSER sepsis alerts are linked to lower mortality"
          }
        },
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "legacy_record",
          "basis": "Preserved from the existing AIBD record; external sources were not rechecked.",
          "record_fields": [
            "title",
            "headline"
          ],
          "source_refs": []
        },
        "review_state": "record_mapped",
        "coverage": "partial"
      },
      "version": {
        "state": "value_present",
        "value": {
          "kind": "identifiers",
          "identifiers": [
            "d1042baa617ae7aee7a350d7cf443da623b9049505100e1bf422360e3f4fba5c"
          ],
          "role": "SHA-256 of normalized original case data"
        },
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "curatorial",
          "basis": "Content fingerprint refreshed after the October 25, 2026 source review.",
          "record_fields": [],
          "source_refs": [],
          "reviewed_on": "2026-10-25"
        },
        "review_state": "record_mapped",
        "coverage": "complete"
      },
      "workflow": {
        "state": "value_present",
        "value": {
          "kind": "record_fields",
          "fields": {
            "account": "UC San Diego Health evaluated COMPOSER in two emergency departments among 6,217 adults with sepsis. The model went live on December 7, 2022, with follow-up through April 30, 2023. Post-deployment mortality was 9.49%, compared with a modeled counterfactual of 11.39%: an adjusted reduction of 1.9 percentage points (95% confidence interval 0.3–3.5). Raw pre-deployment mortality was 10.3%. The estimated benefit was statistically significant at one hospital and not the other. The study used historical controls, without randomization or a concurrent untreated group.",
            "replication": {
              "produced_by": [
                "Continuous analysis of electronic patient data and alerts delivered to nursing staff.",
                "Nurse review, physician assessment, and treatment at UC San Diego Medical Center and Jacobs Medical Center."
              ],
              "must_hold": [
                "Reliable data and prompt clinical assessment are likely requirements. Local evaluation is needed to establish whether the benefit recurs."
              ],
              "echoes": []
            }
          }
        },
        "provenance": {
          "kind": "legacy_record",
          "basis": "Preserved from the existing AIBD record; external sources were not rechecked.",
          "record_fields": [
            "account",
            "replication"
          ],
          "source_refs": []
        },
        "review_state": "record_mapped",
        "coverage": "partial"
      }
    },
    "summary": {
      "total": 91,
      "addressed": 91,
      "known": 72,
      "reviewed": 77,
      "record_mapped": 10,
      "not_assessed": 4,
      "complete": false,
      "by_state": {
        "value_present": 72,
        "not_reported": 15,
        "unresolved": 0,
        "not_assessed": 4,
        "not_applicable": 0,
        "withheld": 0,
        "source_unavailable": 0
      }
    }
  }
}
