{
  "id": "AIBD-0171",
  "title": "ENEA and partners test a machine-learning system to forecast heatwave-driven grid failures in Italy",
  "summary": "The OECD AI Incidents Monitor records that ENEA, Politecnico di Bari and Università Roma Tre developed and tested an ML system to predict heatwave-induced grid failures (May 2023); no outcome given.",
  "date_observed": "2023-05-24",
  "date_basis": "unassessed",
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  "account": "The OECD AI Incidents entry summarizes Italian press items of 24 to 26 May 2023 (Askanews, Teknoring, Ingenio and others, not among the sources). It says researchers from ENEA, Politecnico di Bari and Università Roma Tre developed and tested an AI-based system. It uses machine learning to predict and prevent electrical grid failures caused by heatwaves. It targets urban areas affected by climate change. The monitor labels it an AI hazard rather than an incident because the system is designed to prevent harm and no realized event is reported. The registry page is the only source on record. No deployment, grid operator or avoided outage is documented.",
  "category": "general benefit",
  "unexpected": false,
  "purpose": "The system was built to forecast heatwave-related failures on electricity networks so operators can act in advance. The record documents development and testing only.",
  "system": "ENEA machine-learning heatwave grid-failure forecasting model",
  "model_version": null,
  "developer": "ENEA with Politecnico di Bari and Università Roma Tre",
  "deployer": null,
  "location": "Italy",
  "domain": "Energy",
  "segment": "Electricity distribution resilience",
  "benefit_type": "Reduced Risk",
  "taxonomy_note": "The research announcement describes preventing heatwave-induced grid failures, with no deployment or avoided outage documented.",
  "registry_ids": {},
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    }
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  "evidence": [
    {
      "kind": "registry label",
      "citation": "OECD AI Incidents Monitor, record 2023-05-24-c85b, 'AI System Developed to Prevent Heatwave-Induced Blackouts in Italy'",
      "title": "AI System Developed to Prevent Heatwave-Induced Blackouts in Italy",
      "url": "https://oecd.ai/en/incidents/2023-05-24-c85b",
      "date": "2023-05-24",
      "written_by": "independent",
      "quote": "Researchers from ENEA, Politecnico di Bari, and Università Roma Tre developed and tested an AI-based system using machine learning to predict and prevent electrical grid failures caused by heatwaves."
    }
  ],
  "replication": {
    "produced_by": [
      "Historical grid-failure and temperature data for Italian urban networks",
      "A research consortium of a public agency and two universities"
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    "must_hold": [
      "Operational deployment by a distribution operator",
      "Reporting of forecasts against realized failures"
    ],
    "echoes": []
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  "paired_incident": null,
  "headline": "ENEA tests ML heatwave grid-failure forecasts; no outcome given",
  "metric": null,
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    "status": "unknown",
    "date": null,
    "note": "No development after the May 2023 announcement was found; the ENEA release as mirrored names only the RAFAEL project and an IEEE Transactions paper, with no figures.",
    "quote": null,
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  "developer_country": "Italy",
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      "date": "2026-10-20",
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    {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "change": "Benefit type set to Reduced Risk under Trustible's full taxonomy of 23 types; it was Improved Organizational Efficiency among the six first used.",
      "source": "https://trustible.ai/post/a-framework-for-measuring-the-benefits-of-ai/",
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      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "change": "Country of the developer added from the organization's own site or a registry.",
      "source": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ENEA_(Italy)",
      "editor": "AIBD"
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    {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "change": "Prose pass: account, purpose, the system's part rewritten in shorter sentences with abbreviations expanded; facts, figures and quotations unchanged.",
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